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PACE Setback: Alternate Strategies Could Save U.S. Investment in Residential Clean-Energy and Efficiency Programs
Aaron Berg
The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) recently derailed one of the
most popular and important tools for financing energy efficiency and
clean-energy job creation. The tool, called Property Assessed Clean
Energy (PACE), had attracted interest from communities across the
country and millions of dollars in federal funding. Now, PACE programs
for residential homes are all on hold, or canceled, while states and
municipalities consider different strategies.
The FHA, however, had legitimate reasons for stopping PACE, as PACE
would have created tax liens on private property senior to the
existing mortgage instruments that it insures. This would have
subordinated the FHA’s senior position behind that of new investors
thus increasing the perceived risk of the transaction through a
diminished collateral position for the primary mortgage holder. The
benefit of PACE is the proposition of a repayment mechanism for
clean-energy financing focused on the foreclosure rights and
liquidated value of the entire underlying real-estate asset perfected
by the tax-lien (super-lien) it creates. This collateral-based
approach is commonly recognized by bond markets as “safe” and could
potentially provide the basis for raising significant capital from
public-bond investors. But the mortgage industry’s current problems
highlight the limitations of this strategy.
The U.S. economy has experienced tremendous downward pressure on
real-estate asset values, exacerbating the distress of the mortgage
industry and the financial sector that floated the bubble. Millions of
mortgage loans are currently held in securities that have questionable
asset/collateral value securing them. Roughly one quarter of American
mortgages are underwater and some homeowners are choosing to walk away
from their mortgages because their houses are no longer worth what
they owe or what they originally paid. PACE financing instruments
could have inadvertently marginalized and deteriorated the collateral
value available to mortgage holders on existing loans. This unintended
consequence of PACE financing has some real and perceived negative
consequences for a fragile mortgage industry whose recent collapse
nearly sunk our global economy. In this context, it’s no surprise the
FHA decided to step in.
So where does this leave us? And where do we go from here? We have a
depressed economy in dire need of job creation, more than 100 million
homes across the country in need of energy tune ups, efficiency
investment potential with real returns to investors, and millions of
dollars in funding from the U.S. Department of Energy and the Obama
Administration to jumpstart this multi-billion dollar industry. First,
it’s critically important that we recognize the tremendous support and
enthusiasm for clean-energy financing PACE recently created. Something
we surely need to capture in our efforts to continue blazing ahead on
the path to a more vibrant and restorative economy. Thankfully, other
strategies are ready to pick up what PACE has started and deliver on
the promise of financing clean-energy improvements.
One approach is to focus on the ability to predict cash flows for
clean-energy loans by monitoring and verifying the energy
savings/performance of buildings that undergo energy-efficiency
upgrades. With reliable, controllable, and verifiable savings from
clean-energy improvements, private capital can finance these
improvements with support from public funding. McKinsey and Company
has estimated the investment potential for energy
efficiency in the United States at $520 billion with returns of $1.2
trillion over the next 10 years. Private capital will chase this
enormous market, and build an entire industry of clean-energy
jobs in the process, when investors are confident in the security of
their returns with clearly documented and proven energy savings.
The U.S. Department of Energy recently awarded $450
million to 25 different cities and states to undertake innovative and
collaborative approaches to financing energy efficiency. The
“BetterBuildings” awards lay out a goal of leveraging private capital
by ratios of at least 5:1. If successful, that will translate into
approximately $2.75 Billion in energy-efficiency work over the next
three years, a substantial boost to this emerging industry. But even
with 5:1 leverage, this is still only half of one percent of the $520
Billion investment potential identified by the private sector.
Another alternative to PACE is to work with utilities like the City of
Portland and State of Oregon have done with the Clean Energy
Works Portland program. Portland was recently awarded a $20MM
grant from USDOE’s BetterBuildings program. A new non-profit company,
Clean Energy Works Oregon Inc., has been created to serve as the
capital aggregation and service delivery platform for roll out of
energy efficiency upgrades serving a wide range of customers,
communities, and buildings. As the nation’s primary energy providers,
utilities have an important role to play in attracting this
investment. But this role need not be extensive or cumbersome to the
utility companies. By serving as a pass-through conduit for on-bill
repayment, utilities can offer investors and lenders a reliable
repayment mechanism with low historic default rates. Utilities already
provide financial and technical incentives for clean-energy
initiatives, but the simple service of on-bill repayment may offer
even more support for energy investment in the long run. And it’s a
logical fit; utility companies exist to deliver energy services to
their customers. By directly engaging utility companies and financial
institutions in a positive dialogue, energy-efficiency programs across
the country can still spark the growth in clean-energy investment that
PACE had promised to deliver. The result may be stronger and more
financially stable for all parties involved.
At a very basic level, financing is a means to an end. If we can agree
on the end goals of putting people back to work while achieving
greater energy security for our nation and greater ecosystem security
for our planet, there is no reason we shouldn’t be able to continually
dream up innovative and effective ways to finance clean energy. PACE
was one innovation. On-bill repayment is another. These tools only
scratch the surface of our creative potential. The recent boom and
bust of PACE doesn’t have to end in anything more than a lesson that
we have a long road of innovation ahead for financing clean energy.
Getting it right will require agility, patience, and collaboration.
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Aaron Berg is President & Founder of Blue Tree
Strategies, a Portland-based clean-energy consulting company and
is currently serving as CFO of Clean Energy Works Oregon Inc.